Match Info

Liga Women - Round 16

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alvaro Gomez Hurtado (Floridablanca)


	Real Santander		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.81	3.84	3.65
				Watch
	1.74	3.74	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.73 ↑ (3)	3.65 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
50.7%

Draw
24.4%

Alianza Valledupar
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

30.5%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Santander that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Real Santander - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Alianza (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saavedra M. (G) 14. Insuasty L. 5. Gomez A. 4. Castillo L. 18. Cano D. 7. Cordoba M. 10. Garcia S. 6. Cuellar M. 11. Toledo M. (C) 9. Palomeque M. 26. Franco V.	26. Patino N. (G) 18. Vera H. 3. Ramos T. 6. Sandoval A. 2. Saldarriaga L. 17. Giraldo M. 10. Constante S. (C) 8. Cabrales V. 20. Mendivelso N. 99. Garrido E. 14. Diaz H.
Substitutes
17. Boyaca Y. 21. Martinez K. 13. Millan Y. 20. Parra E. 25. Pineda W. 15. Romero K. 28. Villacorte J.	16. Bolano M. 12. Diaz D. 19. Gomez E. 5. Gomez L. 21. Granados K. 4. Osuna L. 30. Perez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Toledo M. ⚽,
18', Vera H. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Insuasty L. ⚽,
35', Constante S. 🟨,
42', Mendivelso N. 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Franco V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 3 - 1, Sandoval A. ⚽,
60', Palomeque M. ↓, Boyaca Y. ↑,
60', Gomez A. ↓, Villacorte J. ↑,
60', 3 - 2, Mendivelso N. ⚽,
66', Giraldo M. ↓, Osuna L. ↑,
71', Cordoba M. 🟨,
77', Cabrales V. 🟨,
89', Cordoba M. ↓, Parra E. ↑,
90+3', Vera H. ↓, Granados K. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

Recent form of Real Santander has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alianza is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Real Santander is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Santander won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander Women
Colombian Liga Women
15.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Real Santander - Orsomarso	1:3 ✺
25.05.25	América de Cali - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
13.05.25	Real Santander - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 TLTLT
- Alianza Valledupar Women
Colombian Liga Women
14.06.25	Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios	0:3 ✺
10.06.25	Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar	4:3 ✺
24.05.25	Alianza Valledupar - Inter Palmira	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
02.06.24	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	3:2

Real Santander - Alianza Valledupar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide