Match Info

Date: 19 September 2022, Monday


	Real Santander		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.7	2.8	2.65
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.81	2.97	2.84
	2.6	2.88	2.62
	2.6	3.08	2.61
	2.7	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.18)	2.97 ↑ (2.88)	2.62 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
34.3%

Draw
30.8%

Boyacá Chicó
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

31.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

31.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Santander's performance.

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boyacá Chicó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Santander that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boyacá Chicó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Real Santander - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Real Santander will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Santander won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
13.09.22	Barranquilla - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
07.09.22	Real Santander - Valledupar	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Tigres - Real Santander	2:2 ✺
27.08.22	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Orsomarso - Real Santander	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLT
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera B
12.09.22	Boyacá Chicó - Bogotá	0:2 ✺
08.09.22	Deportes Quindío - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
23.08.22	Boyacá Chicó - Real Cartagena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
25.04.22	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	2:1
Colombian Copa
15.03.22	Real Santander - Boyacá Chicó	2:1
02.03.22	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	0:1
Colombian Primera B
19.10.21	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	3:1
29.10.17	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	3:2
12.06.17	Real Santander - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
08.06.17	Boyacá Chicó - Real Santander	3:2

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