Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Sociedad B		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.58	Watch
	2.66	3.41	2.61	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.5
	2.62	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.57	3.4	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.88)	3.4 ↑ (3.27)	2.57 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
36%

Draw
27.6%

Albacete Balompié
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	68.7%	12.5%

Real Sociedad B - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Albacete will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 39. Unax A. 15. Kita K. 23. Agote U. 31. Aguirre I. 8. Rodriguez M. (C) 17. Astiazaran L. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 11. Ochieng J. 18. Carrera G.	1. Marino D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 3. Jogo 16. Lazo J. 8. Rodriguez R. (C) 17. Melendez A. 11. Valverde V. 4. Agus Medina 10. Betancor J.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 42. Arana P. 4. Beitia L. 7. Diaz D. 29. Garro J. 19. Marchal A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 34. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 36. Segurola A.	27. Bernabeu D. 19. Escriche D. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 2. Lorenzo 22. Morcillo J. 5. Moreno J. 35. Morientes Palencia A. 6. Pacheco A. 23. Pepe 18. Villar J.
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Gonzalez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Dadie Izagirre A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Carrera G. 🟨,
63', Eceizabarrena J. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
63', Unax A. ↓, Beitia L. ↑,
67', Lazo J. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
67', Agus Medina ↓, Pepe ↑,
76', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
82', Betancor J. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
82', Rodriguez R. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
82', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
86', Gamez F. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
86', Aguirre I. ↓, Oleaga J. ↑,
86', Astiazaran L. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
90+3', Lorenzo 🟨,
90+4', Mariezkurrena A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Balda J. (Yellow Cards) Carbonell T. (Yellow Cards) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez P. (Yellow Cards) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Albacete: Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Pepe (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Albacete: Vallejo J. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Albacete Balompié - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.81%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.26	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad B	0:3 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
10.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TLWWL
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Leganés	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Granada - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	1:3 ✺
08.12.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.01.17	Albacete Balompié - Real Sociedad B	0:1
28.08.16	Real Sociedad B - Albacete Balompié	2:1

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