Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	DAZN
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+


	Real Sociedad B		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.68	3.1	2.58	Watch
	2.81	3.15	2.79
	2.73	3.13	2.72	Watch
	2.7	3	2.63
	2.85	3.2	2.58	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.91)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	2.65 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
34.3%

Draw
30.1%

Málaga
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	10.7%	82.1%

Real Sociedad B - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Málaga will win (votes: 23 - 82.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 67.9% – 96.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Real Sociedad B (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Real Sociedad B (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Málaga will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Málaga (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 29. Garro J. 4. Beitia L. (C) 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 8. Rodriguez M. 16. Gorosabel G. 18. Carrera G. 11. Ochieng J.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 31. Rafita 12. Dotor C. 8. Juanpe 35. Ochoa A. 10. Larrubia D. 21. Nino A. 11. Munoz J.
Substitutes
41. Adjabeng A. 23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 30. Eceizabarrena J. 32. Folgado T. (G) 33. Gorosabel J. 19. Marchal A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 25. Ortiz de Orue D. 39. Unax A.	7. Abaida H. 9. Chupe 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 23. Merino I. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Juanpe 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽,
38', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juanpe ↓, Merino I. ↑,
55', Ochoa A. 🟨,
56', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
62', Nino A. ↓, Chupe ↑,
62', Ochoa A. ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Ochieng J. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
71', Munoz J. 🟨,
72', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
74', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
77', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
78', Rafita 🟨,
79', Dotor C. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
85', Astiazaran L. ↓, Unax A. ↑,
85', Carrera G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
88', Balda J. 🟨,
90+1', Rodriguez M. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
90+4', Garro J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Real Sociedad B has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I. (Injury) Dadie Izagirre A. (Yellow Cards) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Yellow Cards) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Málaga - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.26	FC Andorra - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
03.02.26	Nottingham Forest U21 - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.01.26	Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
21.01.26	Chelsea U21 - Real Sociedad B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTLW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.26	Málaga - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Mirandés - Málaga	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Málaga - Burgos	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Córdoba - Málaga	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Málaga - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.08.25	Málaga - Real Sociedad B	1:0
19.02.22	Real Sociedad B - Málaga	2:0
04.11.21	Málaga - Real Sociedad B	2:1

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