Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.7	2.8
	2.49	2.85	2.75
	2.65	3.03	2.8
	2.55	2.97	2.79	Watch
	2.7	2.81	2.91
	2.49	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.67)	2.87 ↑ (2.87)	2.8 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
35.4%

Draw
31.9%

Real Sociedad B
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

32%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

32.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 5. Dominguez J. 4. Olaortua I. 6. Quintana A. 24. Munroe F. 8. Bilbao I. 22. Garrido D. 16. Vidorreta A. 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 15. Rodriguez P. 6. Lebarbier A. 3. Balda J. 11. Ochieng J. 18. Garcia E. 28. Carbonell T. 8. Rodriguez M. 10. Goti Lopez M. 9. Orobengoa E.
Substitutes
30. Arteaga U. 9. Benito A. 26. Ghussein B. 11. Obieta K. 25. Perez C. (G) 18. Puig J. 10. Rivero Q. 2. Santos S. 1. Txusta (G)	23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 40. Astiazaran L. 5. Astigarraga E. 35. Carrera G. 7. Diaz D. 21. Merino J. 17. Ramirez D. 38. Ropero I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Munroe F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Aranzabe A. 🟨,
69', Eimil V. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
69', Olaortua I. ↓, Puig J. ↑,
73', Ochieng J. ↓, Carrera G. ↑,
73', Orobengoa E. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
80', 🟨,
80', Aranzabe A. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
80', Rivero Q. ↓, Bilbao I. ↑,
84', Rodriguez M. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
87', Carrera G. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:32 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Barakaldo - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
17.01.25	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWWWW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Tarazona - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Barcelona B	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Osasuna B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0
17.03.24	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	1:3
17.12.23	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	2:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.02.23	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	2:0
22.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	0:1
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.02.21	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	3:1

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