Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Red Bull Bragantino		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.53	4	5.75
	1.52	4.25	6
	1.56	4.14	5.95
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.54	4.15	6	Watch
	1.52	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.63)	4.09 ↓ (4.12)	5.82 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
61%

Draw
22.9%

América Mineiro
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

22%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (G) 13. Aderlan 30. Luan Patrick 3. Leo Ortiz (C) 29. Juninho Capixaba 27. Sorriso 8. Lucas Evangelista 35. Matheus Fernandes 17. Bruninho 28. Vitinho 19. Eduardo Sasha	14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 75. Rodriguinho 18. Cesar J. 33. Eder Ferreira 6. Marlon 7. Matheusinho 23. Mendez J. 21. Lucas Kal 8. Juninho (C) 16. Ale 19. Paulinho Boia
Substitutes
9. Alerrandro 18. Borbas T. 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 46. Henrique da Silva G. 34. Hurtado J. 5. Jadsom Silva 36. Luan Candido 25. Matheus Goncalves 12. Maycon (G) 14. Quintero Y. 21. Talisson	28. Cascardo Lemos B. 2. Daniel Borges 5. Emmanuel Martinez 37. Everaldo 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 3. Iago Maidana 13. Marcinho 10. Martin Benitez 1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 87. Mikael 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 9. Wellington Paulista
Coaches
Caixinha P.	Giacomini D.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently RB Bragantino have a series of guest games.

In this match RB Bragantino is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Copa Paulista
09.08.23	CA Juventus - Red Bull Bragantino	4:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.08.23	Coritiba - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.08.23	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.23	Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.07.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Osasco Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
06.08.23	Bahia - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.08.23	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.07.23	América Mineiro - Palmeiras	1:4 ✺
22.07.23	Flamengo - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.07.23	América Mineiro - Colo-Colo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
03.08.23	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	2:2
05.11.22	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	1:4
17.07.22	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3
27.11.21	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	1:1
23.08.21	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.19	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0

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