Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 16

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)


	Flamengo		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5.2	9
	1.34	5.24	10.43
	1.29	4.6	7.5
	1.32	5.25	9.1	Watch
	1.33	5.2	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.08 ↑ (4.4)	8.89 ↑ (7.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
70.9%

Draw
18.5%

América Mineiro
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

20.9%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

20.1%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	6.7%	2.2%

Flamengo - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (41 of 45 users predict this - 91.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.79% – 99.43%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Matheus Cunha (G) 43. Wesley 23. David Luiz 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 21. Allan 20. Gerson 7. Everton Ribeiro (C) 14. de Arrascaeta G. 27. Bruno Henrique 10. Gabriel	14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 20. Daniel Borges 33. Eder Ferreira 3. Iago Maidana 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 16. Ale (C) 5. Emmanuel Martinez 10. Martin Benitez 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 29. Pedrinho 47. Paulinho Boia
Substitutes
11. Everton 15. Fabricio Bruno 16. Filipe Luis 48. Igor Jesus 42. Matheus Franca 30. Pablo 9. Pedro 3. Rodrigo Caio 17. Rossi A. (G) 1. Santos (G) 2. Varela G. 29. Victor Hugo	28. Cascardo Lemos B. 18. Cesar J. 37. Everaldo 11. Felipe Azevedo 8. Juninho 25. Marcinho 1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 7. Matheusinho 65. Rodrigo Varanda 75. Rodriguinho 4. Wanderson 9. Wellington Paulista
Coaches
Sampaoli J.	Mancini V.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 3.

Flamengo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches América MG is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flamengo is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Pulgar E. (Injury)

There will not play in América MG: Adyson (Injury) Dada Belmonte (Injury) Mikael (Injury) Ricardo Silva (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Flamengo to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
16.07.23	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.07.23	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.07.23	Palmeiras - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.07.23	Flamengo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.07.23	Flamengo - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTWW
- América Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana
18.07.23	América Mineiro - Colo-Colo	5:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.07.23	Corinthians - América Mineiro	4:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.07.23	Colo-Colo - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.07.23	Coritiba - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.07.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
22.10.22	América Mineiro - Flamengo	1:2
25.06.22	Flamengo - América Mineiro	3:0
26.09.21	América Mineiro - Flamengo	1:1
13.06.21	Flamengo - América Mineiro	2:0
26.08.18	América Mineiro - Flamengo	2:2
21.04.18	Flamengo - América Mineiro	2:0
Brazilian Primeira Liga
16.02.17	Flamengo - América Mineiro	1:0

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