The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortaleza 47.4%
Draw 28.1%
Red Bull Bragantino 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
30.6%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
32.5%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
26.7%
40%
Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 15.2% – 64.8%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 5 - 45.5%). RB Bragantino (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Magrao (G) 2. Tinga (C) 13. Kuscevic B. 3. Avila G. 16. Diogo Barbosa 88. Lucas Sasha 5. Pereira M. 7. Pochettino T. 26. Breno Lopes 11. Marinho 18. Deyverson
40. Lucao (G) 34. Hurtado A. 13. Palacios S. 16. Gustavo Marques 31. Guilherme 6. Gabriel 7. Eric Ramires 10. Jhon Jhon 21. Lucas Barbosa 8. Eduardo Sasha (C) 9. Pitta I.
Substitutes
77. Andrade K. 27. Bareiro A. 6. Bruno Pacheco 39. Gustavo Mancha 80. Herrera J. 38. Lucca Prior 14. Mancuso E. 20. Matheus Rossetto 29. Rodrigo 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 22. Yago Pikachu 17. Ze Welison
59. Athyrson 60. Boateng S. 18. Borbas T. 27. Davi Gomes 5. Fabinho 24. Fernando Costa (G) 22. Gustavo Neves 45. Nathan Mendes 25. Praxedes 2. Rodriguez G. 32. Sant'Anna A. 17. Vinicinho
Coaches
Alves R.
Fernando Seabra
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Deyverson ⚽, Pochettino T. (A),
8', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
19', 2 - 0, Kuscevic B. ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
29', Pochettino T. ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
32', Avila G. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Pitta I. ⚽,
45', Palacios S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Breno Lopes ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
46', Palacios S. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Lucca Prior ⚽,
50', Eric Ramires 🟨,
51', Andrade K. 🟨,
56', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
56', Eric Ramires ↓, Fabinho ↑,
63', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
63', Jhon Jhon ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
65', Herrera J. 🟨,
70', Marinho ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
81', Deyverson ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
81', Pereira M. ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
85', Gustavo Marques ↓, Nathan Mendes ↑,
88', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
Fortaleza has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
RB Bragantino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Inactive)
Bruninho
(Injury)
Bruno Pacheco
(Tendon Injury)
David Luiz
(Thigh Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Mancha
(Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Inactive)
Lucero J.
(Yellow Cards)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Cleiton
(Yellow Cards)
Fabricio
(Thigh Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Fernandes
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Mosquera H.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 33.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Magrao (G) 
Kuscevic B. 
Avila G. 
Hurtado A. 
Palacios S. 
Pitta I. 
Andrade K. 
Boateng S. 
Borbas T. 
Alves R. 
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