Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 2, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Red Bull Bragantino		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	8
	1.43	4.2	6
	1.43	4.4	7
	1.44	4.34	7.74
	1.45	4.16	7.47	Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.43	4.45	7.34
	1.43	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.63)	4.27 ↑ (3.7)	7.19 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
65.1%

Draw
21.9%

Criciúma
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Bragantino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 3. Eduardo Santos 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 35. Matheus Fernandes 10. Jhon Jhon 21. Lucas Barbosa 8. Eduardo Sasha 17. Vinicinho	12. Kaua Moroso (G) 3. Rodrigo (C) 14. Benevenuto 4. Luciano Castan 6. Marcinho 5. Matheus Trindade 40. Everton Morelli 50. Juninho 22. Marcelo Hermes 77. Diego Goncalves 9. Neto Pessoa
Substitutes
59. Athyrson 18. Borbas T. 53. Chumbinho 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 37. Fabricio (G) 31. Guilherme 22. Gustavo Neves 33. Laquintana I. 57. Marcelinho 13. Palacios S. 2. Rodriguez G.	1. Alisson (G) 97. Caique (G) 25. Guilherme Lobo 36. Heitor Roca 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 23. Leo Alaba 88. Luiz Henrique 34. Otusanya O. 99. Sassa 2. Yan Souto 35. Ze Gabriel
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Eduardo Sasha (Pen),
11', Benevenuto 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Lucas Barbosa (Pen),
23', Gabriel 🟨,
30', Benevenuto ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
46', Neto Pessoa ↓, Sassa ↑,
46', Juninho ↓, Heitor Roca ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
61', 4 - 0, Borbas T. ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
64', Vinicinho ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
64', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
64', Everton Morelli ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
68', 5 - 0, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Laquintana I. (A),
71', Marcinho ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
75', Jhon Jhon ↓, Athyrson ↑,
77', Juninho Capixaba ↓, Guilherme ↑,
88', 6 - 0, Borbas T. ⚽, Fabinho (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, RB Bragantino is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWLW
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
18.05.25	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Criciúma - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Chapecoense - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.25	Criciúma - Remo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	5:1
28.08.24	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.19	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	1:1
19.08.19	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2
10.10.16	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	2:0
24.06.16	Criciúma - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1

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