Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Ortega C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Red Bull Bragantino		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.2
	1.89	3.25	4.4
	1.87	3.4	4.57
	1.83	3.1	4.33
	1.83	3.48	4.45	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.01)	3.33 ↑ (3.08)	4.32 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
50.1%

Draw
28.2%

Estudiantes La Plata
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

31.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	46.2%	23.1%

Red Bull Bragantino - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

RB Bragantino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estudiantes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

RB Bragantino will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams RB Bragantino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
29.04.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
22.04.23	Cuiabá - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Oriente Petrolero	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Tacuary - Red Bull Bragantino	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWW
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.23	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Tacuary	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.04.23	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
17.05.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1
26.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0

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