Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Tacuary		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	10	4.2	1.4	Watch
	8.25	4.2	1.39
	9.5	4.4	1.37
	9.81	4.36	1.39
	9	4.2	1.33
	8.7	4.65	1.37	Watch
	8.8	4.3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.15 ↑ (6.83)	4.33 ↑ (4.04)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
10.2%

Draw
21.6%

Red Bull Bragantino
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

22.9%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

21.6%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Tacuary - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tacuary will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tacuary: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Tacuary is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RB Bragantino has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tacuary could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently RB Bragantino have a series of guest games.

In this match RB Bragantino is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.03.23	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Tacuary - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.23	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWLW
- Red Bull Bragantino
Club Friendly
29.03.23	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.03.23	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.23	Ypiranga - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.03.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	São Bento - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW

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