Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Red Bull Bragantino		River Plate

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.8	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	2.68	2.92	2.72
	2.75	3	2.94
	2.72	2.97	2.87	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.9	3.01	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.8)	2.99 ↓ (3.01)	2.76 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
34.5%

Draw
31.5%

River Plate
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

31.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Red Bull Bragantino - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (G) 34. Hurtado A. 4. Alix Vinicius 14. Pedro Henrique 29. Juninho Capixaba 8. Eduardo Sasha 35. Matheus Fernandes 6. Gabriel 21. Lucas Barbosa 9. Pitta I. (C) 32. Herrera J.	41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 26. Galvan T. 6. Moreno A. 24. Meza J. 38. Subiabre I. 11. Colidio F. 7. Salas M.
Substitutes
51. Caue Nascimento 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 11. Fernando Santos 16. Gustavo Marques 22. Gustavo Neves 56. Gustavo Reis (G) 57. Marcelinho 20. Rodriguinho 18. Tiago Volpi (G) 12. Vanderlan 17. Vinicinho	16. Bustos F. 33. Centurion E. (G) 17. Diaz P. 35. Freitas J. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 39. Lencina S. 19. Paez K. 25. Pereyra L. 20. Pezzella G. 32. Ruberto A. 44. Silva L. 18. Vina M.
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
18', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
22', Subiabre I. 🟨,
35', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
36', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
41', Meza J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Meza J. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
46', Subiabre I. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
47', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
53', Eduardo Sasha (Penalty Awarded),
55', Gabriel 🟨,
56', Gustavo Neves 🟨,
59', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
61', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
81', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
81', Herrera J. ↓, Fernando Santos ↑,
83', Galvan T. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
90', Moreno A. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
90', Salas M. ↓, Ruberto A. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Martinez Quarta L. ⚽, Silva L. (A),
90+8', Rivero L. 🟨,

Preview

RB Bragantino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

River Plate is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, RB Bragantino has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.31%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Remo	4:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Blooming	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWWL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.04.26	River Plate - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	River Plate - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	River Plate - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Racing - River Plate	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Blooming - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWT

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