Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Semler J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 5P
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Laola1, Sky Go Germany
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Red Bull Salzburg		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	1.79	4	3.75	Watch
	1.85	3.85	3.55
	1.88	4.27	3.84
	1.78	4.19	3.98	Watch
	1.84	4.15	3.75
	1.83	4.08	4.02	Watch
	1.81	4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.97)	4.08 ↑ (3.6)	3.8 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
51.9%

Draw
23.2%

Rapid Wien
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

25.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	8.8%	0%

Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Salzburg (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Salzburg (3.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Bull Salzburg will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Salzburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 18. Veratschnig N. (C) 44. Boma K. 47. Zabransky V. 31. Schmid D. 32. Barry A. 15. Mazurek B. 20. Baidoo E. 8. Kitano S. 11. Vertessen Y. 9. Tabakovic H.	1. Hedl N. (G) 77. Bolla B. 55. Cvetkovic N. 6. Raux-Yao S. 38. Horn J. 30. Bajlicz N. 18. Seidl M. (C) 43. Haidara M. 22. Demir Y. 8. Adamsen T. 9. Kara E.
Substitutes
43. Aguilar E. 33. Camara A. 21. Drexler T. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 4. Mellberg J. 39. Morgalla L. 7. Tohumcu U.	10. Dahl P. 61. Demir F. 25. Gartler P. (G) 47. Groller A. 71. M'Buyi C. 2. Roka E. 21. Schaub L. 7. Tilio M. 15. Wurmbrand N.
Coaches
Rohl D.	Thorup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Kitano S. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Veratschnig N. ⚽,
21', 3 - 0, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Mazurek B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Horn J. ↓, Roka E. ↑,
46', Kara E. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
46', 4 - 0, Baidoo E. ⚽, Mazurek B. (A),
51', 4 - 1, Seidl M. ⚽, Bajlicz N. (A),
59', Tabakovic H. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
59', Vertessen Y. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
68', Kitano S. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
69', Cvetkovic N. 🟨,
74', Haidara M. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
74', Adamsen T. ↓, Wurmbrand N. ↑,
78', Rohl D. 🟨,
83', Baidoo E. ↓, Aguilar E. ↑,
85', Bajlicz N. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
90', 5 - 1, Konate K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 2.

Salzburg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rapid is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Rapid has had a series of home games.

In this match, Salzburg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Salzburg: Diabate S. (Injury) Diakite G. (Inactive) Moser J. (Inactive) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Rapid: M'Buyi C. (Knee Injury) Marcelin J. (Injury) Ndzie M. (Knee Injury) Nunoo D. (Hamstring Injury) Vincze D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Kratzig F. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Salzburg: 53.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SK Rapid	7	6	0	1	21:7	14	18
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18:4	14	17

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Rapid Wien - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
30.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Mjällby	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Mjällby - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.08.26	Swarovski Tirol - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Paphos - Red Bull Salzburg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWT
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
30.08.26	Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.08.26	Rapid Wien - Hearts	2:3 penalties ✺
20.08.26	Hearts - Rapid Wien	2:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.08.26	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	8:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.26	Rapid Wien - Paide LM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
26.04.26	Rapid Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0
15.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	0:1
08.03.26	Rapid Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0
05.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:1
24.05.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	4:2
30.03.25	Rapid Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2
07.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:2

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