Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Bourg-Péronnas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.05	3.25	3.15
	2.22	3.25	3
	2.25	3.38	3.3
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.17	3.26	3.13	Watch
	2.24	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.07)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)	3.13 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
42.2%

Draw
28.5%

Bourg-Péronnas
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bourg-Péronnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	21.7%	17.4%

Red Star - Bourg Péronnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Red Star will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Red Star won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
30.09.22	Le Puy - Red Star	0:2 ✺
23.09.22	Red Star - Martigues	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	Avranches - Red Star	1:1 ✺
12.09.22	Red Star - Paris 13 Atletico	0:2 ✺
05.09.22	Le Mans - Red Star	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLT
- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
30.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Sedan	1:3 ✺
23.09.22	Villefranche - Bourg-Péronnas	3:2 ✺
16.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Stade Briochin	3:3 ✺
09.09.22	Châteauroux - Bourg-Péronnas	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Cholet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.04.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Red Star	0:2
03.12.21	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1
09.02.21	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0
10.11.20	Bourg-Péronnas - Red Star	0:4
24.01.20	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1
17.08.19	Bourg-Péronnas - Red Star	1:4
French Coupe de la Ligue
13.08.19	Bourg-Péronnas - Red Star	3:2 penalties

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