Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN 3, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App
Montenegro	Arena Sport 9
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Disney+


	Reims		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.75
	1.62	3.95	5.45
	1.64	3.98	5.8	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.68	4.08	5.74	Watch
	1.62	3.95	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	3.93 ↑ (3.87)	5.53 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Reims
58.4%

Draw
24.3%

Le Havre
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

18.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reims than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reims that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Havre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	17.4%	19.6%

Reims - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 48% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (G) 23. Buta 2. Okumu J. 21. Kipre C. 55. Sangui N. 15. Munetsi M. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 7. Ito J. 10. Teuma T. (C) 17. Nakamura K. 67. Diakhon M.	1. Gorgelin M. (G) 93. Sangante A. (C) 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 7. Nego L. 5. Targhalline O. 19. Ndiaye R. 21. Joujou A. 11. Sabbi E. 28. Ayew A.
Substitutes
18. Akieme S. 63. Bamba M. A. 22. Diakite O. 92. Kone A. 64. Mohamed-Ali D. 20. Olliero A. (G) 30. Patrick J. 11. Salama A. 74. Sissoko N.	10. Casimir J. 25. Confais A. 30. Desmas A. (G) 99. Hassan A. 46. Housni I. 8. Kechta Y. 32. Pembele T. 22. Salmier Y. 45. Soumare I.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Sabbi E. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Munetsi M. ⚽,
41', Atangana Edoa V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Diakhon M. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
64', Ayew A. ↓, Hassan A. ↑,
65', Nego L. ↓, Soumare I. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Sangante A. ⚽, Lloris G. (A),
76', Munetsi M. 🟨,
78', Sangui N. ↓, Akieme S. ↑,
78', Teuma T. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
78', Sabbi E. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
78', Joujou A. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
90+4', Ndiaye R. 🟨,
90+4', Ndiaye R. ↓, Salmier Y. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 4.

Recent matches Reims is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Havre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Reims is a favorite.

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Kone A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Le Havre: Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Toure A. (Ribs Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Yellow Cards)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Reims won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
Coupe De France
14.01.25	Reims - Monaco	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
11.01.25	Reims - Nice	2:4 ✺
04.01.25	Saint-Étienne - Reims	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Still-Mutzig - Reims	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.24	Reims - Monaco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWT
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
12.01.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	5:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Stade Briochin - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.12.24	Le Havre - Strasbourg	0:3 ✺
07.12.24	Nice - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.11.24	Le Havre - Reims	0:3
25.02.24	Le Havre - Reims	1:2
20.12.23	Reims - Le Havre	1:0
Club Friendly
22.07.20	Reims - Le Havre	3:0
French Ligue 2
30.04.18	Reims - Le Havre	0:1
06.11.17	Le Havre - Reims	0:0
31.03.17	Le Havre - Reims	1:1

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