Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Onefootball


	Le Havre		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.9
	4.45	3.7	1.78	Watch
	4.58	3.87	1.85
	4.42	3.84	1.77	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.62	3.88	1.85	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.69)	3.71 ↑ (3.42)	1.82 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
21.7%

Draw
25.7%

Strasbourg
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.6%	10.7%	85.7%

Le Havre - Strasbourg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Strasbourg (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Strasbourg (5.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 2 - 5.3%). Strasbourg (votes: 34 - 89.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 13. Doucoure F. 29. Zagadou S. 93. Sangante A. (C) 7. Nego L. 19. Gourna-Douath L. 26. Ebonog S. 27. Vinette E. K. 14. Ndiaye R. 45. Soumare I. 17. Boufal S.	39. Penders M. (G) 18. Mwanga J. 24. Hogsberg L. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 29. El Mourabet S. 32. Barco V. 7. Moreira D. 19. Enciso J. 20. Godo M. 9. Panichelli J.
Substitutes
8. Kechta Y. 30. Khadra R. 4. Lloris G. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 32. Pembele T. 33. Quetant K. 25. Samatta A.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 33. Becker Y. 15. Fofana D. D. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S. 2. Omobamidele A. 80. Yassine G.
Coaches
Digard D.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Zagadou S. ⚽, Boufal S. (A),
29', Doukoure I. 🟥,
32', Chilwell B. 🟨,
33', Mwanga J. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Godo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Sangante A. (A),
63', Vinette E. K. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
64', Doucoure F. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
74', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
76', Godo M. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
78', Sangante A. ↓, Lloris G. ↑,
79', Boufal S. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
84', Enciso J. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
85', Soumare I. 🟨,
89', Ebonog S. ↓, Mosengo D. N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2.

Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strasbourg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Le Havre: Khadra R. (Shoulder Injury) Seko A. (Ribs Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Vinette E. K. (Shoulder Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Lloris G. (Injury) Samatta A. (Knock)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Strasbourg: 0.64% Le Havre: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
30.01.26	Lens - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Rennes - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Le Havre - Angers	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Le Havre - Amiens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTWL
- RC Strasbourg
Coupe De France
05.02.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Lille - Strasbourg	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Strasbourg - Metz	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Avranches - Strasbourg	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.09.25	Strasbourg - Le Havre	1:0
17.05.25	Strasbourg - Le Havre	2:3
15.12.24	Le Havre - Strasbourg	0:3
04.05.24	Le Havre - Strasbourg	3:1
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Strasbourg - Le Havre	3:1
French Ligue 1
10.12.23	Strasbourg - Le Havre	2:1
French Ligue 2
28.04.17	Strasbourg - Le Havre	2:0

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