Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Sport


	Toulouse		Brest

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.3
	2.22	3.45	3.2
	2.27	3.47	3.38
	2.19	3.41	3.17	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.32	3.48	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.08)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	3.25 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
42.9%

Draw
27.8%

Brest
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Toulouse - Brest Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Brest (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.75 - Brest (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brest (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 6 - 25%). Brest (votes: 12 - 50%). Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Restes G. (G) 29. Canvot J. 4. Cresswell C. 3. McKenzie M. 19. Sidibe D. (C) 23. Casseres C. 77. Sauer M. 24. Methalie D. 15. Donnum A. 9. Magri F. 10. Gboho Y.	1. Majecki R. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 26. Le Cardinal J. 2. Locko B. 23. Doumbia K. 20. Lees-Melou P. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 19. Ajorque L. 17. Balde M.
Substitutes
31. Edjouma N. 16. Haug K. (G) 11. Hidalgo S. 12. Kamanzi W. 35. Koumbassa S. 2. Nicolaisen R. 39. Saka M. 7. Vignolo J. 45. Vossah A.	18. Bourgault J. 11. Camblan A. 13. Chotard J. 30. Coudert G. (G) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 29. Diop S. 36. Le Guen R. 33. Makalou H. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Martinez C.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Magri F. ⚽,
60', Sauer M. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
63', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Magri F. ⚽,
70', Sidibe D. ↓, Nicolaisen R. ↑,
71', Gboho Y. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
72', Magnetti H. ↓, Chotard J. ↑,
72', Chardonnet B. ↓, Diaz Jr. M. ↑,
72', Del Castillo R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
79', Doumbia K. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,
83', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
83', Methalie D. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
84', Balde M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 0.

Toulouse is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brest is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Toulouse has had a series of away games.

Toulouse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Francis A. (Injury) Messali R. (Inactive) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Chotard J. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.6:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Toulouse - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.03%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
16.08.25	Nice - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Toulouse - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Stuttgart - Toulouse	4:0 ✺
30.07.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	RB Leipzig - Toulouse	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLL
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
17.08.25	Brest - Lille	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Brest - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Napoli - Brest	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Brest - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Rennes - Brest	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.03.25	Toulouse - Brest	2:4
22.09.24	Brest - Toulouse	2:0
19.05.24	Toulouse - Brest	0:3
08.10.23	Brest - Toulouse	1:1
02.04.23	Brest - Toulouse	3:1
15.01.23	Toulouse - Brest	1:1
11.01.20	Toulouse - Brest	2:5

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