Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
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Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Strasbourg		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.95	3.55	2.32	Watch
	3.26	3.6	2.31
	2.93	3.63	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.92	3.58	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.3)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.35 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
32.2%

Draw
27.2%

Toulouse
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strasbourg's form might have worsened.

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strasbourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Strasbourg - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 15 - 50%). Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 32.1% – 67.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 8. Oyedele M. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 24. Hogsberg L. 42. Ouattara A. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 83. Luis R. 80. Yassine G. 11. Nanasi S. 34. Dieme Y.	1. Restes G. (G) 3. McKenzie M. 4. Cresswell C. 2. Nicolaisen R. (C) 15. Donnum A. 45. Vossah A. 23. Casseres C. 24. Methalie D. 11. Hidalgo S. 10. Gboho Y. 13. Russell-Rowe J.
Substitutes
45. Cisse A. 29. El Mourabet S. 10. Emegha E. 19. Enciso J. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 7. Moreira D. 18. Mwanga J. 28. Noubissie T. 2. Omobamidele A.	37. Azizi I. 44. Bakhouche Piernas G. 20. Emersonn 16. Haug K. (G) 12. Kamanzi W. 35. Koumbassa S. 77. Sauer M. 19. Sidibe D. 7. Vignolo J.
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Martinez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Dieme Y. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽, Doukoure I. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Methalie D. ⚽, Casseres C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ouattara A. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
56', Methalie D. 🟨,
63', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
63', Amougou M. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
71', Doukoure I. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
72', Dieme Y. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
75', Vossah A. 🟨,
78', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
78', Hidalgo S. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
82', Gboho Y. ↓, Azizi I. ↑,
82', Vossah A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
82', Nanasi S. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Emersonn ⚽, Casseres C. (A),
90+7', Donnum A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3.

Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Toulouse has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Knee Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Toulouse: Francis A. (Broken Leg) Magri F. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Barco V. (Ankle Injury) Doue G. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Strasbourg: 0.62% Toulouse: 0.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7
14	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Lorient - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
Coupe De France
22.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Strasbourg - Rennes	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	Strasbourg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLW
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
25.04.26	Toulouse - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Toulouse - Lille	0:4 ✺
03.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Toulouse - Strasbourg	1:0
16.03.25	Strasbourg - Toulouse	2:1
12.01.25	Toulouse - Strasbourg	1:2
07.04.24	Toulouse - Strasbourg	0:0
27.08.23	Strasbourg - Toulouse	2:0
29.01.23	Strasbourg - Toulouse	1:2
23.10.22	Toulouse - Strasbourg	2:2

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