Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 27

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
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Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
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Japan	DAZN Japan
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North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
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Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
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Slovakia	Voyo
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Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+


	Reims		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.62	Watch
	5.25	4.1	1.6
	5.4	3.95	1.62	Watch
	5.28	4.05	1.63
	5.19	3.88	1.67	Watch
	5	4	1.57
	5.12	4.14	1.69	Watch
	5.4	3.95	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (5.11)	4.02 ↓ (4.14)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Español

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Current Win Probability

Reims
18.2%

Draw
23.6%

Olympique Marseille
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

22.9%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

21.3%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Reims - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Marseille will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (C) 23. Buta 2. Okumu J. 21. Kipre C. 18. Akieme S. 24. Gbane M. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 72. Kone A. 7. Ito J. 17. Nakamura K. 67. Diakhon M.	1. Rulli G. (G) 29. Lirola P. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 13. Cornelius D. 44. Luis Henrique 19. Kondogbia G. 21. Rongier V. 3. Merlin Q. 10. Greenwood M. 25. Rabiot A. 9. Gouiri A.
Substitutes
3. Hiroki S. 85. Ibrahim H. 31. Jeng M. 92. Kone A. 20. Olliero A. (G) 30. Patrick J. 74. Sissoko N. 10. Teuma T. 87. Tia A.	50. Bakola D. 22. Bennacer I. 77. Dedic A. 12. De Lange J. (G) 6. Garcia U. 8. Maupay N. 62. Murillo M. 26. Nadir B. 17. Rowe J.
Coaches
Diawara S.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Nakamura K. ⚽, Diakhon M. (A),
34', Balerdi L. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lirola P. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
46', Merlin Q. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Diakhon M. ⚽, Nakamura K. (A),
59', Diakhon M. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Atangana Edoa V. ⚽, Ibrahim H. (A),
73', Kone A. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
73', Buta ↓, Hiroki S. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Rongier V. ⚽, Luis Henrique (A),
80', Kondogbia G. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
80', Gouiri A. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 1.

Reims is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marseille is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Reims have a series of guest games.

In this match Marseille is a favorite.

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Gabriel Moscardo (Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Siebatcheu J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Harit A. (Calf Injury) Hojbjerg P. (Foot Injury) Moumbagna F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Olliero A. (Ankle Injury) Sangui N. (Thigh Injury) Teuma T. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Marseille: Luiz Felipe (Injury) Murillo M. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Reims won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:30 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
16.03.25	Brest - Reims	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Reims - Auxerre	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Monaco - Reims	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
25.02.25	Angers - Reims	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
21.02.25	Rennes - Reims	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWL
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
16.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Olympique Marseille - Lens	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.08.24	Olympique Marseille - Reims	2:2
15.05.24	Reims - Olympique Marseille	1:0
12.08.23	Olympique Marseille - Reims	2:1
19.03.23	Reims - Olympique Marseille	1:2
07.08.22	Olympique Marseille - Reims	4:1
24.04.22	Reims - Olympique Marseille	0:1
22.12.21	Olympique Marseille - Reims	1:1

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