Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 24

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Renate		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.5	Watch
	2.17	2.97	3.76
	2.11	3	3.57	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.5
	2.1	2.83	3.67	Watch
	2.16	2.9	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.21)	2.93 ↓ (3.04)	3.61 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
43.3%

Draw
31.3%

Alcione
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.9%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Renate - Alcione Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 30. De Zen R. 11. Delcarro A. 25. Vassallo F. 17. Bonetti A. 80. Vesentini F. 16. Ekuban J. 9. Karlsson O.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 6. Ciappellano D. 5. Miculi A. 73. Scuderi G. 33. Invernizzi A. 23. Galli G. 7. Renault G. 70. Bright K. 11. Pitou J. 9. Plescia V.
Substitutes
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 14. Cali M. 77. De Leo L. 8. Esposito G. 97. Fall M. 3. Gardoni P. 72. Mastromonaco G. 7. Muhameti E. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P.	81. Gallazzi F. 65. Giorgeschi S. 16. Lanzi J. 31. Marconi M. 21. Olivieri D. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 32. Tordini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Ekuban J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Bright K. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Karlsson O. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
67', Ekuban J. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
71', Renault G. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
73', Riviera C. 🟨,
80', Vesentini F. ↓, Gardoni P. ↑,
80', Invernizzi A. ↓, Lopes E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Alcione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Renate will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Renate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Renate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Renate - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.13%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Alcione - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.93%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Latina - Renate	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.26	Brescia - Renate	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Renate - Latina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.26	Giana Erminio - Renate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTTW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.26	Alcione - Dolomiti Bellunesi	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Lumezzane - Alcione	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Alcione - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Triestina - Alcione	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Alcione - Renate	1:1
11.01.25	Renate - Alcione	0:1
07.09.24	Alcione - Renate	0:1

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