Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Reno		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	6.75
	1.25	5.25	8.5
	1.25	5.6	7.6
	1.28	5.65	8.01
	1.29	5.25	7.5
	1.29	5.6	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	5.43 ↑ (4.74)	7.68 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reno
71.4%

Draw
16.8%

Las Vegas Lights
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.1%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.5%

16.2%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reno's performance.

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reno than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Reno - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Las Vegas has not chance of playoffs.

Reno is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Vegas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Las Vegas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Reno is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reno won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Reno won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Reno
USL Championship
26.09.20	Reno - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Portland Timbers 2 - Reno	2:5 ✺
17.09.20	Reno - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 ✺
12.09.20	Sacramento Republic - Reno	3:3 ✺
05.09.20	Reno - Portland Timbers 2	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWTW
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
26.09.20	Las Vegas Lights - LA Galaxy II	2:2 ✺
18.09.20	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
15.09.20	LA Galaxy II - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
11.09.20	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	5:1 ✺
05.09.20	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
01.08.20	Las Vegas Lights - Reno	0:1
12.10.19	Las Vegas Lights - Reno	0:2
01.06.19	Reno - Las Vegas Lights	4:0
28.08.18	Reno - Las Vegas Lights	2:1
24.03.18	Las Vegas Lights - Reno	1:1

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