The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mito HollyHock 35.6%
Draw 32.3%
Tokyo Verdy 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
31.5%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
32%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 2. Danilo Cardoso 17. Itakura K. 4. Ushizawa T. 70. Matheus Leiria 3. Osaki K. 19. Semba T. 7. Omori S. 11. Torikai Y. 10. Watanabe A. (C) 9. Nemoto R.
1. Matheus (C) 36. Matsuda R. 5. Inoue R. 6. Miyahara K. 40. Arai Y. 24. Nakayama S. 16. Hirakawa R. 35. Tanabe S. 27. Shirai R. 14. Fukuda Y. 45. Teranuma S.
Substitutes
33. Ando K. 5. Inoue S. 8. Kato C. 82. Kawakami K. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 20. Patryck 29. Tada K. 39. Yamamoto H. 24. Yamazaki K.
42. Imai K. 30. Kawamura G. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 10. Morita K. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 8. Saito K. 9. Someno I. 15. Suzuki K. 13. Yamada G.
Coaches
Kimori D.
Hiroshi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Nemoto R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Shirai R. ⚽, Arai Y. (A),
59', Nemoto R. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
59', Matheus Leiria ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
62', Matsuda R. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
62', Shirai R. ↓, Morita K. ↑,
63', Teranuma S. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
68', Watanabe A. ↓, Ando K. ↑,
68', Osaki K. ↓, Patryck ↑,
74', Tanabe S. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
77', Suzuki K. 🟨,
81', Ushizawa T. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
82', Nakayama S. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
87', Ando K. 🟨,
90+3', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 1.
Mito HollyHock is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tokyo Verdy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Sasaki K.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Uchida Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
Yoshida T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Mito HollyHock: Fofana M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shimatani K.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Mito: 0.78% Verdy: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Mito
4
1
2
1
6:5
1
5
19
Verdy
4
0
2
2
2:6
-4
2
Last Results with these Odds
Tokyo Verdy - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.5%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Danilo Cardoso 
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