Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rentistas		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.55
	2.82	2.78	2.52
	2.92	2.84	2.66
	3.89	1.91	3.39	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.5
	2.82	2.77	2.54
	2.75	3.2	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.75)	2.71 ↓ (3.2)	2.66 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
31.1%

Draw
34.1%

Albion Montevideo
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Rentistas - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Amoroso V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Bentancur S. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rentistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Albion Montevideo - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.84%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Rentistas - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Rentistas - Central Español	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTL
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.07.25	Albion Montevideo - La Luz	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.04.25	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	0:0
09.11.24	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	1:1
21.07.24	Albion Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1
28.08.23	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	1:0
06.05.23	Albion Montevideo - Rentistas	3:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.07.22	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	2:4
27.06.22	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	0:1

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