Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		La Luz

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.65	3.35	4.75
	1.7	3.58	4.88
				Watch
	1.75	3	5
	1.66	3.25	5.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)	3.26 ↓ (3.5)	4.85 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
53.4%

Draw
27.9%

La Luz
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

25.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Albion Montevideo - La Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 6 - 75%). La Luz will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albion: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Albion (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Airala C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Carrizo M. 🟥,
76', 2 - 0, Amoroso V. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Puente F. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 and 14).

Albion has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

La Luz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

La Luz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Albion is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Albion won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.25	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWW
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.07.25	La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	4:0 ✺
24.06.25	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Central Español - La Luz	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	La Luz - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.08.24	La Luz - Albion Montevideo	3:2
11.05.24	Albion Montevideo - La Luz	1:0
30.03.24	La Luz - Albion Montevideo	0:2
Uruguay Copa
21.09.22	Albion Montevideo - La Luz	2:3

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