Match Info

Date: 1 April 2022, Friday


	Rentistas		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.36
	7.25	4.4	1.39	Watch
	6.75	4.25	1.38
	7.6	4.3	1.36
	8.79	4.73	1.4
	8	4	1.38
	8	4.55	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.7 ↑ (6.34)	4.37 ↑ (3.98)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
12%

Draw
21.1%

Peñarol de Montevideo
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

23.1%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

22.1%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 0.

Rentistas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Peñarol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Peñarol is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Rentistas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.03.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
11.03.22	Cerrito - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Rentistas - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2 ✺
20.02.22	Danubio - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.03.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Albion Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
09.10.21	Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1
12.06.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1
14.02.21	Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1
22.08.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rentistas	2:2
24.04.16	Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3
18.10.15	Peñarol de Montevideo - Rentistas	1:0
23.05.15	Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2

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