Match Info

Date: 12 May 2021, Wednesday


	Rentistas		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	4	3.1	2
	3.95	3.25	1.94	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2.02
	3.95	3.08	2.09
	4	3.2	2	Watch
	3.65	3.34	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (8.3)	3.2 ↓ (4.52)	2.03 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
24.5%

Draw
29.3%

São Paulo
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

20.7%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9%

18%

78.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rentistas's performance.

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rentistas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+31.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rentistas - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Rentistas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Paulo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rentistas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently São Paulo have a series of guest games.

São Paulo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Copa Libertadores
05.05.21	Rentistas - Sporting Cristal	0:0 ✺
29.04.21	São Paulo - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
21.04.21	Rentistas - Racing	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.21	Rentistas - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
04.04.21	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTLL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.05.21	Mirassol - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.21	Racing - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.05.21	Corinthians - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.21	São Paulo - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.04.21	Ituano - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
29.04.21	São Paulo - Rentistas	2:0

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