Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 16

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Deportivo Recoleta		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	1.91	3.26	3.44
	2.03	3.36	3.37	Watch
	1.94	3.42	3.46
	2.06	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.11)	3.3 ↑ (3.29)	3.33 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
45.3%

Draw
27.5%

Sportivo Carapeguá
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

27.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Velazco J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).

Recoleta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carapeguá is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recoleta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recoleta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
07.07.24	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	12 de Junio - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
10.06.24	Guaireña - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Martín Ledesma	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLW
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.07.24	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1 ✺
30.06.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - 12 de Junio	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:3 ✺
09.06.24	Martín Ledesma - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.09.23	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Recoleta	3:4
28.05.23	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0

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