Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 22

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday


	Resistencia		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.4
	5.25	4.5	1.42
	6.5	4.5	1.42	Watch
	7	5.09	1.45
	6.95	4.88	1.45
	4.33	4.2	1.55
	6.65	4.85	1.38
	6.2	4.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↑ (3.95)	4.62 ↑ (3.84)	1.44 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
15.1%

Draw
20.2%

Sportivo Ameliano
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.6%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.6%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Resistencia's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Ameliano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Resistencia - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Users Predictions: Sportivo Ameliano will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arzamendia M. (G) 17. Acevedo E. 18. Aguilera Colman D. A. 28. Benitez A. 19. Benitez M. 4. Brizuela O. (C) 2. Cabrera Benitez E. 7. Enciso R. 39. Gonzalez A. 10. Jorge Nunez 3. Ruan	12. Balbuena J. (G) 9. Bareiro S. 3. Benitez H. 13. Cabrera W. 40. Contrera A. (C) 26. Gonzalez J. 5. Maiz A. 19. Paredes A. 17. Torales Richard 11. Vera E. 6. Zaracho E.
Substitutes
9. Amarilla M. 8. Araujo J. 20. Arrua F. 12. Benitez I. (G) 6. Gamarra M. 22. Lezcano H. 21. Zabala F.	8. Barreto D. 2. Franco F. 10. Gonzalez C. J. 4. Gutierrez T. 18. Ortiz L. 1. Papaleo J. (G) 7. Samudio A.
Coaches
Recalde C.	Garcia H.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 3.

Resistencia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sportivo Ameliano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sportivo Ameliano is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Resistencia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.11.23	Guaireña - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
13.11.23	Resistencia - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
06.11.23	Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia	5:0 ✺
02.11.23	Resistencia - Tacuary	1:3 ✺
30.10.23	Libertad Asuncion - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.11.23	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	2:2 ✺
01.11.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
17.09.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	1:2
22.04.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1
10.02.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	0:3
22.10.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	3:2
19.08.22	Resistencia - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1
29.04.22	Resistencia - Sportivo Ameliano	3:0
11.02.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	1:4

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