Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Beirne Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)


	Rhode Island		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.65
	2.85	3	2.5
	2.25	3.76	2.83
	2.25	3.76	2.83
	2.28	3.41	2.87	Watch
	2.85	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.86)	3.39 ↑ (3.06)	2.7 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
38%

Draw
27.5%

Phoenix Rising
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+4%)

Rhode Island - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lee J. (G) 15. Nodarse F. 24. Yao K. 16. Alves G. A. 3. Turnbull S. 18. Brito J. 12. Holstad C. 23. Ybarra M. 17. Kwizera J. 10. Dikwa A. (C) 11. Fuson N.	1. Rios R. (G) 5. Traore M. 3. Stenberg J. (C) 30. Fuenmayor A. 72. Rito E. 6. Doratiotto G. 26. Zambrano R. 77. Azocar J. 21. Armenakas P. 14. Cuello E. 91. Cabral R.
Substitutes
14. Doyle M. 1. Koke Vegas (G) 2. Messer N. 25. Orduy K. 7. Saydee P. 4. Smith C. 21. Twumasi K. 19. Vang K.	29. Formella D. 7. Gallardo E. 4. Mar Boye P. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 17. Scearce J. 16. Torres G. 10. Varela F.
Coaches
Smith K.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Cabral R. ⚽, Cuello E. (A),
12', Traore M. 🟨,
23', Fuenmayor A. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Cabral R. ⚽,
35', Yao K. 🟨,
42', Dikwa A. (Pen),
43', Holstad C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Brito J. ↓, Saydee P. ↑,
59', Dikwa A. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
66', Cuello E. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
68', Fuson N. 🟨,
75', Nodarse F. ↓, Vang K. ↑,
75', Turnbull S. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
78', Armenakas P. ↓, Varela F. ↑,
78', Azocar J. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
78', Fuenmayor A. ↓, Mar Boye P. ↑,
80', Stenberg J. 🟨,
87', Formella D. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Holstad C. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Varela F. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Phoenix Rising could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Phoenix Rising have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
20.04.24	Las Vegas Lights - Rhode Island	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.24	Charlotte Independence - Rhode Island	5:4 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rhode Island - Charleston Battery	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTTL
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
20.04.24	Phoenix Rising - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLW

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