Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)


	Phoenix Rising		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.25	3.2	3.1
	2.38	3.15	3.22
	2.38	2.99	3.22
	2.27	3.12	3.12	Watch
	2.26	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.85)	3.09 ↓ (3.46)	3.12 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
40.5%

Draw
29.9%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Rising's form might have worsened.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pittsburgh Riverhounds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pittsburgh Riverhounds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Phoenix Rising - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rios R. (G) 27. Wyke L. 4. Mar Boye P. 3. Stenberg J. (C) 16. Torres G. 8. Hernandez J. 26. Zambrano R. 7. Gallardo E. 29. Formella D. 10. Varela F. 91. Cabral R.	1. Dick E. (G) 5. Suber S. 28. Osumanu I. 3. Hogan P. 13. Biasi L. 8. Etou B. 14. Mertz R. 2. Griffin D. (C) 15. Sample B. 45. Sterling K. 19. Kizza E.
Substitutes
21. Armenakas P. 77. Azocar J. 14. Cuello E. 6. Doratiotto G. 35. Grote C. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 72. Rito E. 33. Smuck Z. 5. Traore M.	7. Blackstock L. 27. Diene B. 11. Forbes K. 9. Johnson E. 10. O’Toole A. 12. Perrotta G. (G) 4. Rovira D.
Coaches
Guerra J.	Lilley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Osumanu I. 🟨,
24', Stenberg J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Sterling K. ⚽, Kizza E. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Cabral R. ⚽, Mar Boye P. (A),
42', Gallardo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Mar Boye P. 🟨,
49', Sterling K. (Pen),
62', 1 - 2, Kizza E. ⚽, Etou B. (A),
67', Gallardo E. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
67', Torres G. ↓, Rito E. ↑,
68', Varela F. ↓, Armenakas P. ↑,
74', Mertz R. ↓, Forbes K. ↑,
74', Sterling K. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
74', Suber S. ↓, Blackstock L. ↑,
76', Formella D. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
85', Zambrano R. ↓, Doratiotto G. ↑,
89', Sample B. ↓, O’Toole A. ↑,
89', Kizza E. ↓, Rovira D. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Diene B. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Recent matches Phoenix Rising is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pittsburgh is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pittsburgh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Phoenix Rising will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
13.04.24	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWL
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
13.04.24	Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	New Mexico United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
03.06.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Phoenix Rising	1:0

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