Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Leibovitz G. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Latvia	TV4
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Riga		Győri ETO

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.00	3.75	Watch
	1.72	3.70	4.10
	1.83	3.60	4.00	Watch
	1.77	4.06	3.95
	2.01	3.71	3.36	Watch
	1.74	3.95	3.80
	1.82	4.16	3.81
	1.74	3.90	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.15)	3.89 ↑ (3.42)	3.86 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
51.9%

Draw
24%

Győri ETO
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.

Győri ETO has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Győri ETO might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Győri ETO than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	11.1%	16.7%

Riga - Győri ETO Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Győri ETO will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Győri ETO (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Győri ETO (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 33. Paulo Eduardo 21. Musah B. 17. Salazar A. 8. Iago Siqueira 40. Ankrah A. 4. Galo O. 22. Diop M. 7. Aouani R. 10. Reginaldo Ramires (C)	99. Petras S. (G) 53. Selyem B. 26. Umathum A. 37. Urblik N. 24. Krpic M. (C) 47. Decsy A. 14. Szep M. 17. Schon S. 10. Bumba C. 11. Njie N. 34. Djukanovic V.
Substitutes
3. Abner 19. Badamosi M. 99. Caio Ferreira 34. Cernomordijs A. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 6. Saco C. 25. Taiwo A. 23. Tonisevs M. 5. Wassom K. 1. Zviedris K. (G)	90. Banati K. 20. Biro B. 64. Brecska D. (G) 75. Csorba N. 96. Huszar M. 55. Koszas K. 18. Lamin Mass M. 16. Megyeri B. (G) 23. Stefulj D. 70. Tollar I. 2. Vladoiu S.
Coaches
Gula A.	Juarez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Selyem B. (Own goal),
18', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Bumba C. ↓, Huszar M. ↑,
66', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
73', Aouani R. 🟨,
77', Aouani R. ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
77', Diop M. ↓, Cernomordijs A. ↑,
80', Njie N. ↓, Stefulj D. ↑,
88', Salazar A. ↓, Tonisevs M. ↑,
88', Iago Siqueira ↓, Oulad M'Hand S. ↑,
90+1', Schon S. ↓, Csorba N. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Riga has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Győri ETO is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Győri ETO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Riga has had a series of home games.

Riga could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Riga FC: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
02.08.26	Riga - Grobiņa	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.26	Riga - Vardar	5:2 ET ✺
22.07.26	Vardar - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
18.07.26	Riga - Tukums 2000	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Riga - Ararat-Armenia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- Győri ETO FC
Hungarian NB I
02.08.26	Győri ETO - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Győri ETO - Atert Bissen	1:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
26.07.26	Vasas - Győri ETO	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.26	Atert Bissen - Győri ETO	2:6 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Győri ETO - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTWT

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