Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Rio Ave		Vizela

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3	Watch
	2.4	3.25	3	Watch
	2.42	3.3	3.2
	2.43	3.3	3.19
	2.2	3.25	3	Watch
	2.27	3.4	3.14	Watch
	2.35	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.23)	3.28 (3.28)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
40.6%

Draw
28.9%

Vizela
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.8%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Rio Ave - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Jhonatan (G) 23. Josue Sa 33. Santos A. 3. Nobrega M. 20. Costinha 6. Guga (C) 10. Amine 77. Fabio Ronaldo 22. Boateng E. 95. Andre Pereira 14. Joca	97. Buntic F. (G) 25. Escoval R. 5. Anderson Jesus 3. Wilson Valdez B. R. 82. Costa Silva T. 20. Samu (C) 90. Nascimento D. 34. Ortiz P. 17. Lacava M. 99. Essende S. 8. Mendez A.
Substitutes
8. Gomes V. 21. Graca J. 7. Hernani 82. Magrao (G) 75. Namora N. 42. Pantalon R. 9. Ruiz L. 11. Ventura B. 70. Ze Manuel	22. Busnic A. 7. Jardel 19. Lebedenko O. 6. Matheus Pereira 2. Oliveira H. 21. Ramos R. 23. Rashid O. 1. Ruberto F. (G) 9. Unzueta I.
Coaches
Freire L.	Villar P.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rio Ave could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rio Ave will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
10.12.23	Arouca - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Rio Ave - Boavista	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Rio Ave - Farense	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTTWL
- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
08.12.23	Vizela - Braga	1:3 ✺
01.12.23	Chaves - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.11.23	Vizela - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
11.11.23	Vizela - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Casa Pia - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
29.01.23	Vizela - Rio Ave	3:1
06.08.22	Rio Ave - Vizela	0:1

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