Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV


	Vizela		Braga

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.62	Watch
	4.75	4.2	1.6	Watch
	5	4.2	1.6	Watch
	5.97	4.3	1.59
	5.98	4.23	1.59
	4.75	4.2	1.55	Watch
	5.15	4.35	1.59	Watch
	5.4	4.3	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.61)	4.25 ↑ (4.02)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
18.1%

Draw
22.3%

Braga
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

23.6%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

23.1%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	0%	95.2%

Vizela - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (60 of 63 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.98% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 82. Costa Silva T. 25. Escoval R. 5. Anderson Jesus 6. Matheus Pereira 20. Samu (C) 34. Ortiz P. 79. Moreira N. 90. Nascimento D. 19. Lebedenko O. 99. Essende S.	1. Matheus (G) 17. Mendes J. 5. Saatci S. 15. Oliveira P. 26. Borja C. 18. Vitor Carvalho 16. Zalazar R. 14. Djalo A. 22. Pizzi 21. Horta R. (C) 23. Banza S.
Substitutes
22. Busnic A. 12. Bustamante R. 7. Jardel 8. Mendez A. 2. Oliveira H. 23. Rashid O. 1. Ruberto F. (G) 14. Saint-Louis D. 9. Unzueta I.	7. Bruma 88. Castro 6. Fonte J. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 10. Horta A. 19. Marin A. 28. Moutinho J. 20. Rony Lopes 9. Ruiz A.
Coaches
Villar P.	Artur Jorge

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vizela won 1.

Recent matches Vizela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Braga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Braga is a favorite.

There will not play in Vizela: Lacava M. (Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Braga: Al Musrati (Injury) Gomez V. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vizela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
01.12.23	Chaves - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.11.23	Vizela - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
11.11.23	Vizela - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Casa Pia - Vizela	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Vizela - Porto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWL
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
03.12.23	Braga - Estoril Praia	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.11.23	Braga - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Portimonense - Braga	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.11.23	Arouca - Braga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Real Madrid - Braga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.03.23	Vizela - Braga	0:4
18.09.22	Braga - Vizela	2:0
10.04.22	Vizela - Braga	0:1
Taça de Portugal
23.12.21	Vizela - Braga	1:0
Liga Portugal
30.11.21	Braga - Vizela	4:1
Club Friendly
06.07.21	Braga - Vizela	4:3

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