Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Arouca		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2	3.4	3.6
	2.28	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.34	3.3	3.29
	1.43	4.06	8.46	Watch
	2	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	4.06 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
47.1%

Draw
28.8%

Rio Ave
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	52.9%	11.8%

Arouca - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Arouca (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valido J. (G) 78. Alex Pinto 3. Fontan J. (C) 5. Popovic B. 44. Dante A. 89. Pedro Santos 21. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 14. Lee H. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.	1. Miszta C. (G) 5. Ntoi A. 4. Panzo J. 6. Abbey N. 17. Vrousai M. (C) 8. Bakoulas T. 10. Aguilera Zamora B. 3. Athanasiou N. 11. Andre Luiz 9. Clayton 80. Pohlmann O.
Substitutes
46. Flores M. 24. Mansilla B. 58. Mantl N. (G) 9. Morozov V. 11. Puche 4. Rocha M. 8. Simao D. 16. Sola A. 28. Tiago Esgaio	22. Chamorro K. (G) 28. Gual M. 54. Liavas G. 63. Lomboto J. 7. Novais J. 19. Papakanellos A. 23. Petrasso F. 18. Spikic D. 20. Tome J.
Coaches
Seabra V.	Sylaidopoulos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Lee H. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Fontan J. ⚽,
34', Barbero I. 🟨,
36', Abbey N. 🟨,
38', Ntoi A. 🟨,
40', Fontan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, Clayton ⚽, Andre Luiz (A),
60', Barbero I. ↓, Tiago Esgaio ↑,
60', Pedro Santos ↓, Flores M. ↑,
61', Pohlmann O. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
61', Bakoulas T. ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Spikic D. ⚽, Clayton (A),
72', Alex Pinto ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
72', Andre Luiz ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Trezza A. ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, Clayton ⚽, Athanasiou N. (A),
81', Dante A. ↓, Simao D. ↑,
81', Fukui T. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
85', Clayton ↓, Petrasso F. ↑,
85', Athanasiou N. ↓, Gual M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Djouahra N. ⚽, Lee H. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.

Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arouca could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Arouca: Nandin D. (Red Card)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
17.08.25	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	6:0 ✺
09.08.25	Arouca - AVS	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Arouca - Boavista	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Arouca - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTT
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
17.08.25	Rio Ave - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.25	Rio Ave - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Nacional - Rio Ave	3:3 ✺
05.05.25	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
10.02.25	Arouca - Rio Ave	1:1
01.09.24	Rio Ave - Arouca	1:0
19.04.24	Rio Ave - Arouca	1:1
10.12.23	Arouca - Rio Ave	2:2
Portuguese League Cup
30.07.23	Arouca - Rio Ave	2:0
Liga Portugal
28.04.23	Rio Ave - Arouca	1:0
12.11.22	Arouca - Rio Ave	0:1

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