Match Info

Copa Centro-Oeste - Round 1

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare) (Cachoeiro de Itapemirim)


	Rio Branco AC ES		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.29	4.21	Watch
	2.9	3	2.25
	1.35	4.15	8.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.95)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	4.94 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
50.2%

Draw
29.2%

Vila Nova
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

29.7%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

30.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Rio Branco AC ES - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Alex Galo ⚽,

Preview

Rio Branco AC ES is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vila Nova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rio Branco AC ES may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vila Nova has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rio Branco AC ES is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Branco AC ES won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Athletic Club	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
28.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Rio Branco-VN - Rio Branco AC ES	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTT
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Vila Nova - Operário MS	2:1 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Velo Clube - Vila Nova	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.03.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
12.03.24	Vila Nova - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0

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