Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Monterey Bay		Tampa Bay Rowdies

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.6
	4.75	4	1.62
	4.66	4.1	1.64
	4.68	4.05	1.65	Watch
	4.63	3.98	1.64	Watch
	4.75	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (4.06)	3.99 ↑ (3.5)	1.63 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (KION-Monterey-Salinas)

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
19.9%

Draw
23.2%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.8%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Siaha A. (G) 3. Doner M. 30. Greene K. (C) 4. Lara A. 5. Guzman C. 13. Fehr M. 99. Gnaulati X. 15. Dixon A. 7. Rebollar A. 11. Martinez W. 9. Trager T.	15. Breno P. (G) 22. Doherty J. 19. Kleemann F. 33. Guillen A. (C) 27. Niyongabire P. 17. Crisostomo D. 4. Hilton L. 23. Munjoma E. 26. Jennings C. 9. Arteaga M. 98. Perez J.
Substitutes
64. Ayon J. 6. Dieter R. 32. Gallaway P. 24. Glasser M. 18. Gonzalez M. 21. Herrera C. (G) 12. Robinson G.	. Akin T. (G) 11. Bodily B. 42. Bubb Z. 10. Fernandes L. 16. Ortiz C. 8. Rivera D. 18. Worth N.
Coaches
Yallop F.	Neilson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Kleemann F. 🟨,
26', Gnaulati X. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Dixon A. ⚽, Trager T. (A),
35', Kleemann F. ↓, Bodily B. ↑,
45+1', Guzman C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Guillen A. 🟨,
56', Gnaulati X. ↓, Ayon J. ↑,
61', Siaha A. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Jennings C. ⚽, Crisostomo D. (A),
72', Jennings C. ↓, Worth N. ↑,
72', Hilton L. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
72', Perez J. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
72', Martinez W. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Arteaga M. (Pen),
85', Bodily B. ↓, Bubb Z. ↑,
85', Dixon A. ↓, Glasser M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Trager T. ⚽, Rebollar A. (A),
90+5', Rivera D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Monterey Bay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tampa Bay is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monterey Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
27.07.24	Louisville City - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
13.07.24	Monterey Bay - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWLW
- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
27.07.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery	4:2 ✺
20.07.24	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.08.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay	4:1
02.10.22	Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:2

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