Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Rio Preto		União Barbarense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.65
	1.66	3.38	4.65
	1.67	3.48	4.83	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.66	3.34	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	4.79 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
53.8%

Draw
27.3%

União Barbarense
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

27%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Preto's performance.

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União Barbarense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Rio Preto - União Barbarense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 3-0. Second leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Preto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

União Barbarense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rio Preto is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rio Preto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.03.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Itapirense - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil	4:0 ✺
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Rio Preto - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW
- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.03.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	União Barbarense - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	União Barbarense - Paulista	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - União Barbarense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.03.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	0:3
31.01.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	1:1

Rio Preto - União Barbarense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide