Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Rionegro Águilas		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2
	4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.2	3.35	1.99
	4.21	3.46	1.93
	3.75	3.3	1.91	Watch
	3.87	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.2	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.17)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	1.93 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rionegro Águilas
23.6%

Draw
28%

Red Bull Bragantino
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rionegro Águilas's form might have worsened.

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Rionegro Águilas - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras Verna J. D. (G) 4. Puerta M. 17. Quinones J. 3. Moreno V. 5. Varela J. 22. Rivas J. 20. Salazar J. 28. Celis G. 16. Pineda J. 15. Garavito M. 21. Ramos J.	1. Cleiton (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 4. Lucas Cunha 3. Leo Ortiz 36. Luan Candido 5. Jadsom Silva 23. Raul 8. Lucas Evangelista 11. Helinho 19. Eduardo Sasha 28. Vitinho
Substitutes
34. Arango H. (G) 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 9. Blanco J. 23. Caballero J. 6. Cuenu J. 10. De La Rosa W. 8. Diaz J. 26. Lozano D. 71. Pardo F. 27. Rivas E. 2. Rodriguez S. 11. Vuletich A.	34. Andres Hurtado 18. Borbas T. 17. Bruninho 39. Douglas Mendes 7. Eric Ramires 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 33. Laquintana I. 10. Lincoln 40. Lucao (G) 2. Realpe L. 21. Talisson
Coaches
Gomez H.	Caixinha P.

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rionegro Águilas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match RB Bragantino is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
16.02.24	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	0:3 ✺
30.01.24	Patriotas - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLLT
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.02.24	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Santo André - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTWW

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