Match Info

Date: 25 August 2020, Tuesday


	Riteriai		Derry City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.6	2.9	2.65
	2.67	3.03	2.77
	2.62	3.1	2.55
	2.75	3.13	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.17)	3.02 ↓ (3.27)	2.61 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riteriai
34.2%

Draw
30.5%

Derry City
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

19.8%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riteriai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riteriai's form might have worsened.

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derry City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derry City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.3%	14.8%	72.8%

Riteriai - Derry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Riteriai will win (votes: 10 - 12.3%). Derry will win (votes: 59 - 72.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 63.1% – 82.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Derry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Derry will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.08.20	Riteriai - Žalgiris	2:2 ✺
14.08.20	Riteriai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
11.08.20	Dainava Alytus - Riteriai	0:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.08.20	Panevėžys - Riteriai	1:1 ✺
01.08.20	Banga Gargždai - Riteriai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWTT
- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
21.08.20	Derry City - Cork City	3:1 ✺
15.08.20	Shelbourne - Derry City	1:1 ✺
09.08.20	Derry City - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
03.08.20	St Patricks Athletic - Derry City	0:2 ✺
31.07.20	Derry City - Dundalk	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLW?

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