The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St Patricks Athletic 56.6%
Draw 25.4%
Derry City 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
25.8%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
25.5%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Patricks Athletic's performance.
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
St Patricks Athletic - Derry City Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Derry will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Anang J. (G) 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 24. Turner L. 23. Brown J. 6. Lennon J. 16. Nugent D. 11. McClelland J. 10. Leavy K. 9. Keena A. 27. Edmondson R.
1. Maher B. (G) 24. Lyons-Foster B. 22. Barr C. 4. Stott J. 19. Fleming B. 8. O'Reilly A. 12. Burns D. 17. Twisk N. 14. Chapman E. 15. Clarke J. 7. Duffy M. (C)
Substitutes
19. Baggley B. 3. Breslin A. 37. Byrne J. 32. Canny B. 33. McHale S. 21. Olusanya A. 1. Rogers D. (G) 35. Rooney S. 48. Sheridan R.
27. Boyce L. 2. Cotter B. 32. Doherty T. 23. Dummigan C. 13. Norcott T. (G) 28. Olayinka J. 6. Slevin R. 29. Smith T.
Coaches
Kenny S.
Lynch T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Brown J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Keena A. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Leavy K. 🟨,
37', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leavy K. ↓, Baggley B. ↑,
50', Burns D. 🟨,
64', Brown J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
67', Duffy M. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
67', Barr C. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
67', Burns D. ↓, Boyce L. ↑,
67', Chapman E. ↓, McClean P. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽,
73', Keena A. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
73', Kenny S. 🟨,
80', Clarke J. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
82', Nugent D. ↓, Sheridan R. ↑,
88', Lennon J. 🟨,
90+2', Fleming B. ↓, Slevin R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 0.
St Patricks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Derry has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
St Patricks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, St Patricks is the team to beat.
There will not play in St Patricks: Boyce R.
(Injury)
Elbouzedi Z.
(Injury)
Mata M. A.
(Injury)
Power S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Derry: Markey D.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
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Anang J. (G) 
Redmond J. (C) 
Edmondson R. 
Barr C. 
Twisk N. 
Olusanya A. 
