Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 14

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Riteriai		Panevėžys

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.3	4.05	1.42
	7.86	4.47	1.45
	7.01	4.46	1.42	Watch
	7	3.9	1.4
	6.2	4.67	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.87 ↑ (4.7)	4.31 ↑ (3.58)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riteriai
13.5%

Draw
21.5%

Panevėžys
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

25.4%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

23.7%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riteriai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riteriai's form might have worsened.

Panevėžys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panevėžys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riteriai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panevėžys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Riteriai - Panevėžys Predictions

Users Predictions: Panevėžys will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Moschin S. (G) 4. Karamarko M. 88. Yakah A. 6. Sveistrys A. 2. Bondar D. 23. Rimpa D. 10. Civilka S. 27. Gelombickas D. 11. Novikovas A. (C) 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 16. Usavicius J.	1. Cerniauskas V. (C) 32. Rasimavicius R. 13. Kerkez S. 15. Janusevskis J. 5. van den Bos M. 27. Asamoah K. 9. Muratovic E. 26. Simon J. 8. Kouadio S. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 17. Kurtsev O.
Substitutes
21. Alekna T. 92. Andraikenas K. (G) 35. Garapko P. 47. Gurksnys V. 17. Lipinskas D. 5. Rutkovskis M. 37. Sankin A. (G) 20. Waruingi J. M.	21. Adah J. 34. Asante I. 16. Bacanin M. 66. Balsys D. 95. Bopesu J. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 80. Elivelton 11. Grajfoner L. 25. Lukosevicius I. 4. Mzoughi R. 12. Valius L. (G) 7. Veliulis E.
Coaches
Vaiciunas G.	Korkeakunnas T.

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 2.

Riteriai has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Panevėžys is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Panevėžys is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Riteriai won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Panevezys	28	9	5	14	29:43	-14	32
10	Riteriai ✔	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Riteriai	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Riteriai - Banga Gargždai	0:4 ✺
02.05.26	Riteriai - Transinvest	0:5 ✺
25.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Riteriai	4:0 ✺
17.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Riteriai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLLT
- FK Panevėžys
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.05.26	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	FA Šiauliai - Panevėžys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
15.03.26	Panevėžys - Riteriai	2:1
22.10.25	Panevėžys - Riteriai	0:1
01.08.25	Riteriai - Panevėžys	1:3
17.05.25	Panevėžys - Riteriai	3:0
05.04.25	Riteriai - Panevėžys	3:1
02.09.23	Riteriai - Panevėžys	0:2
30.06.23	Panevėžys - Riteriai	1:0

Riteriai - Panevėžys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide