Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 1

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	River Plate		Central Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	15	Watch
	1.23	6	12
	1.2	6.3	14	Watch
	1.32	5.18	10.19
	1.22	6.34	13.41
	1.33	4.75	9.5
	1.23	6.25	13	Watch
	1.2	5.9	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)	5.84 ↑ (4.51)	12.39 ↑ (7.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
76.1%

Draw
16.2%

Central Córdoba
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.8%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

19.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.

Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

River Plate - Central Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armani F. (C) 27. Sant'Anna A. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 17. Diaz P. 20. Casco M. 4. Fonseca N. 26. Fernandez N. 36. Solari P. 19. Echeverri C. 21. Barco E. 11. Colidio F.	25. Ingolotti L. (G) 22. Garrido O. 38. Leizza B. 6. Valdez S. (C) 24. Laquidain S. 28. Vazquez K. A. 23. Atencio R. 32. Montoya W. 18. Nuss T. 10. Sanabria M. 14. Molina T.
Substitutes
29. Aliendro R. 2. Boselli S. 33. Centurion E. (G) 13. Diaz E. 5. Kranevitter M. 6. Martinez D. 30. Mastantuono F. 9. Miguel Borja 8. Palavecino A. 32. Ruberto A. 31. Simon S. 23. Villagra R.	7. Alves G. 27. Cansinos R. 11. Godoy M. 36. Gomez J. 34. Mehring A. (G) 26. Meli A. 90. Monzon F. 20. Morales A. 31. Vittar G.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Colidio F. ⚽, Casco M. (A),
16', Garrido O. 🟨,
24', Laquidain S. 🟥,
30', 2 - 0, Colidio F. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
34', Montoya W. 🟨,
34', Sanabria M. ↓, Vittar G. ↑,
38', Casco M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Garrido O. ↓, Godoy M. ↑,
53', Nuss T. 🟨,
55', Fernandez N. ↓, Simon S. ↑,
55', Echeverri C. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
62', Molina T. ↓, Cansinos R. ↑,
62', Vittar G. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
67', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
67', Colidio F. ↓, Ruberto A. ↑,
74', Nuss T. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
75', Vazquez K. A. 🟨,
81', Diaz P. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
81', Solari P. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Barco E. ⚽, Mastantuono F. (A),

Preview

Recent matches River Plate is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Central Córdoba is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is certain favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Martinez P. (Injury)

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Montoya L. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-1.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.04.24	River Plate - Boca Juniors	2:3 ✺
15.04.24	Instituto Córdoba - River Plate	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.04.24	Central Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	5:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.04.24	Central Córdoba - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.03.24	Central Córdoba - Racing	1:3 ✺
18.03.24	Unión Santa Fe - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.01.23	Central Córdoba - River Plate	0:2
21.08.22	River Plate - Central Córdoba	3:0
25.09.21	Central Córdoba - River Plate	1:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.21	Central Córdoba - River Plate	0:5

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