Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	River Plate Montevideo		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.75
	1.32	4.8	8.5
	1.31	4.7	9.4
	1.31	5.45	10.83
	1.32	5	10
	1.36	5.65	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.74)	5.05 ↑ (3.6)	9.5 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
71.3%

Draw
18.8%

LDU Quito
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.2%	4.7%	3.1%

River Plate Montevideo - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (59 of 64 users predict this - 92.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.62% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

LDU Quito is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

LDU Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - 12 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
10.10.20	Progreso - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
06.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWTT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.10.20	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	3:2 ✺
14.10.20	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	5:0 ✺
03.10.20	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.09.20	LDU Quito - Escuela Municipal Binacional	4:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.09.20	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.03.20	LDU Quito - River Plate Montevideo	3:0
Copa Sudamericana
30.09.15	LDU Quito - River Plate Montevideo	1:0
23.09.15	River Plate Montevideo - LDU Quito	2:0

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