Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Atlético Nacional		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.48	3.9	6
	1.45	4.1	5.6
	1.49	3.95	6
	1.53	4.24	6.16
	1.5	3.9	7
	1.49	4.1	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	4.06 ↓ (4.5)	6.24 ↓ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
62.5%

Draw
22.8%

River Plate Montevideo
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.5%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

11.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Nacional - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlético Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Nacional is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
25.10.20	Patriotas - Atlético Nacional	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Atlético Nacional - América de Cali	2:2 ✺
15.10.20	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
10.10.20	Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
06.10.20	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWTW
- River Plate Montevideo
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.10.20	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - LDU Quito	3:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - 12 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
10.12.14	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Nacional	2:0
03.12.14	Atlético Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	1:1

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