Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 13

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Federico Omar Saroldi (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	River Plate Montevideo		Huracán Paso de la Arena

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.20	2.65
	2.40	3.15	2.60
	2.40	3.42	2.92
	2.4	3.45	2.76	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.65
	2.45	3.13	2.92
	2.34	3.10	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.94)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	2.74 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
38.5%

Draw
28.1%

Huracán Paso de la Arena
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.6%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Huracán Paso de la Arena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Paso de la Arena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Paso de la Arena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

River Plate Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Cabrera R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, Vera D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

Recent performances by River Plate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Huracán is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	River Plate	21	8	6	7	31:26	5	30
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.08.26	Tacuarembó - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Oriental de La Paz - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWT
- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Oriental de La Paz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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