The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
River Plate Montevideo 27.6%
Draw 28.9%
Independiente Santa Fe 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
20.8%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78.5%
17.5%
11%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-38.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate Montevideo's form might have worsened.
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+50.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-32.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.2%
5.3%
81.6%
River Plate Montevideo - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 10 - 13.2%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 62 - 81.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 72.9% – 90.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santa Fe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Santa Fe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Santa Fe will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 6 head-to-head matches River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Watch
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