Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	River Plate Montevideo		Racing

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.66
	5	3.5	1.72
	5.1	3.45	1.68	Watch
	5.2	3.6	1.65
	5.48	3.71	1.68
	4.75	3.3	1.7
	4.95	3.62	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.05)	3.54 ↑ (3.13)	1.68 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
18%

Draw
26.4%

Racing
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

29.3%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

31.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

River Plate Montevideo - Racing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4.

River Plate is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches River Plate won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-9.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	Alianza Lima - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.03.22	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
09.03.22	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.22	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	4:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.03.22	Racing - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.03.22	Independiente - Racing	1:2 ✺
14.03.22	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	0:4 ✺
05.03.22	Racing - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.19	Racing - River Plate Montevideo	1:6
10.02.19	River Plate Montevideo - Racing	2:0
Copa Libertadores
29.08.18	River Plate Montevideo - Racing	3:0
09.08.18	Racing - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.04.18	Racing - River Plate Montevideo	0:2
18.06.17	River Plate Montevideo - Racing	2:3
10.05.15	River Plate Montevideo - Racing	0:0

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