Match Info

Date: 6 April 2022, Wednesday


	Alianza Lima		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	9	5	1.36	Watch
	9.25	5	1.32
	9.5	5	1.3
	8.8	4.8	1.32
	9.89	5.13	1.35
	11	4.5	1.27
	8.9	5	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.48 ↑ (7.7)	4.92 ↑ (4.66)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
9.9%

Draw
19.1%

River Plate Montevideo
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

19.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

20.1%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Alianza Lima - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alianza Lima is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

River Plate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.22	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	4:2 ✺
20.02.22	Alianza Lima - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:1 ✺
13.02.22	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWT
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.03.22	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
09.03.22	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.03.22	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
11.04.19	River Plate Montevideo - Alianza Lima	3:0
06.03.19	Alianza Lima - River Plate Montevideo	1:1

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