Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 16

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Referee: Tawara G. (Jpn)


	Fagiano Okayama		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.35	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.96
	2.5	3.31	2.97
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.36	3.28	2.86	Watch
	2.39	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.42)	3.24 ↓ (3.24)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
39.1%

Draw
28.6%

Ventforet Kofu
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Fagiano Okayama - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 5. Yanagi Y. 18. Tagami D. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 7. Takeuchi R. 55. Fujii Y. 39. Hayakawa J. 19. Iwabuchi H. 99. Lucao	32. Koh Bong-jo (G) 24. Iida T. 5. Imazu Y. 29. Kamiya K. 23. Sekiguchi M. 26. Sato K. 21. Renato 10. Torikai Y. 15. Iijima R. 51. Adailton 99. Utaka P.
Substitutes
1. Hotta D. (G) 16. Kawano R. 27. Kimura T. 29. Saito K. 44. Semba T. 10. Tanaka Y. 6. Wakasa Y.	7. Araki S. 16. Hayashida K. 19. Miyazaki J. 44. Naito Y. 14. Nakayama R. 4. Yamamoto H. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Shinoda Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Iwabuchi H. ⚽,
26', Renato 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Hayakawa J. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
65', Naito Y. ↓, Iijima R. ↑,
74', Takeuchi R. ↓, Wakasa Y. ↑,
74', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
74', Torikai Y. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
80', Adailton 🟨,
80', Adailton ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
81', Renato ↓, Nakayama R. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Lucao ⚽,
89', Fujii Y. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,
89', Lucao ↓, Saito K. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 3.

Okayama is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kofu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Okayama won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
12.05.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	Fagiano Okayama - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
12.05.24	Ventforet Kofu - JEF United Chiba	2:2 ✺
06.05.24	Blaublitz Akita - Ventforet Kofu	2:3 ✺
03.05.24	Ventforet Kofu - Oita Trinita	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Ehime - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.06.23	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
19.03.23	Fagiano Okayama - Ventforet Kofu	2:3
09.10.22	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	1:2
20.02.22	Fagiano Okayama - Ventforet Kofu	4:1
03.11.21	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	1:2
03.07.21	Fagiano Okayama - Ventforet Kofu	1:3
20.12.20	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	0:2

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