Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Rochdale		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.8
	4	3.5	1.87
	4.25	3.3	1.9
	4	3.5	1.83
	4.65	3.58	1.85
	4	3.6	1.83
	4.33	3.82	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.43)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)	1.85 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
22.1%

Draw
26.7%

Bristol Rovers
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.4%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.5%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	15%	55%

Rochdale - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 19 (27.67%), has project points - 52, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 4 (26.55%), has project points - 79, has currently - 74, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (74%), has a chance of promoted (46%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 10, importance 50, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 0.

Recent matches Rochdale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bristol Rovers is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bristol Rovers will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
23.04.22	Exeter City - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
15.04.22	Stevenage Borough - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Rochdale - Walsall	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Rochdale - Swindon Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWT
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
23.04.22	Bristol Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
18.04.22	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	1:3 ✺
15.04.22	Bristol Rovers - Salford City	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Tranmere Rovers - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Bristol Rovers - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.12.21	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	4:2
English League One
30.01.21	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	1:2
31.10.20	Rochdale - Bristol Rovers	1:1
02.11.19	Rochdale - Bristol Rovers	1:2
22.04.19	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	0:1
02.10.18	Rochdale - Bristol Rovers	0:0
13.02.18	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	3:2

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